The Schummer Duck Lab at SUNY College of Environmental Science and Forestry offers the only science-based duck migration forecast on the internet.
To get your WEEKLY duck migration forecast, SCROLL DOWN.
We publish our WEEKLY duck migration forecast EACH SUNDAY NIGHT, October through January.
We forecast the daily likelihood of migration into your area using weather data available on the internet and statistical models that predict southward movements of mallards and other dabbling ducks.
In 2010, Schummer and colleagues published their Weather Severity Index (WSI) in the Journal of Wildlife Management. The WSI predicts the southward migration of mallards and other dabbling ducks to southern latitudes. These models were improved upon by Van Den Elsen 2016 and are also reported in Notaro et al. 2016. Here we apply these WSI to produce our weekly DUCK MIGRATION FORECAST for dabbling ducks in the Mississippi and Atlantic Flyways. We use several locations throughout eastern North America to produce our migration predictions each week (Figure 1). We also produce a long-term forecasts twice each year using information from Dr. Judah Cohen of Atmospheric and Environmental Research and the Climate Prediction Center. Find more information on how we use global climate indices to develop our long-term seasonal forecast click on the 2019 - 2020 early season forecast link below. We also provide research updates about WSI in the early season forecast, including new preliminary findings on the potential of WSI to affect duck harvest and hunter participation at southern latitudes.
To get your WEEKLY duck migration forecast, SCROLL DOWN.
We publish our WEEKLY duck migration forecast EACH SUNDAY NIGHT, October through January.
We forecast the daily likelihood of migration into your area using weather data available on the internet and statistical models that predict southward movements of mallards and other dabbling ducks.
In 2010, Schummer and colleagues published their Weather Severity Index (WSI) in the Journal of Wildlife Management. The WSI predicts the southward migration of mallards and other dabbling ducks to southern latitudes. These models were improved upon by Van Den Elsen 2016 and are also reported in Notaro et al. 2016. Here we apply these WSI to produce our weekly DUCK MIGRATION FORECAST for dabbling ducks in the Mississippi and Atlantic Flyways. We use several locations throughout eastern North America to produce our migration predictions each week (Figure 1). We also produce a long-term forecasts twice each year using information from Dr. Judah Cohen of Atmospheric and Environmental Research and the Climate Prediction Center. Find more information on how we use global climate indices to develop our long-term seasonal forecast click on the 2019 - 2020 early season forecast link below. We also provide research updates about WSI in the early season forecast, including new preliminary findings on the potential of WSI to affect duck harvest and hunter participation at southern latitudes.
2019 - 2020 WEEKLY UPDATES
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